Quarterly markets review - Q4 2016
An overview of markets in Q4 2016 when the US presidential election dominated the news and bond yields generally rose.
6 January 2017
- The fourth quarter saw government bond yields rise amid expectations for higher inflation after the US election victory for Donald Trump. Equity markets generally gained, with financial stocks performing well.
- US equities advanced and macroeconomic data largely improved. The quarter was dominated by the presidential election and the Federal Reserve (Fed) raised interest rates.
- Eurozone equities made gains. Financials performed well amid higher bond yields and the European Central Bank extended its quantitative easing programme.
- UK equities also moved higher, supported by financials while resources stocks performed well after OPEC agreed to cut oil production.
- Japanese stocks were strong, drawing support from the currency as the yen weakened in November and December.
- Emerging market equities underperformed, posting a negative return owing to uncertainty over US trade and foreign policy, as well as the prospect of tighter US dollar liquidity.
- Government bond yields moved higher and yield curves steepened. Global corporate bonds generated negative total returns but outperformed government bonds.
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