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Economics

30-year asset class returns forecast: 2016 update

Schroders Economics Group produces 30-year return forecasts, on an annual basis, for a range of asset classes. Our update for 2016 is now available.

07 Mar 2016

Craig Botham

Craig Botham

Emerging Markets Economist

30 Minutes
Unstructured Learning Time

CPD Accredited

In this report we outline the methodology used, which is based on a series of building blocks and estimates of risk premia, and surmise the key conclusions from our analysis.

In summary:

  • Cash returns likely to be negative in the near term, owing to the deleveraging process
  • Credit returns are estimated as the excess over sovereigns
  • Equity return forecasts show disparity between emerging markets and developed markets, particularly Japan
  • Strongest returns found in equities, particularly emerging markets and UK small cap, while cash returns are atrocious.

Our full in-depth analysis can be found as a PDF at the link below.

Read the full report

30-year asset class returns - March 2016 update 6 pages | 269 kb

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Author

Craig Botham

Craig Botham

Emerging Markets Economist

  Craig Botham