60 seconds with Rajeev de Mello: Asian bond boost from falling inflation

Rajeev De Mello, Head of Asian Fixed Income, looks at how falling inflation and a strong US dollar are impacting Asian bonds and currencies.


Rajeev De Mello

Rajeev De Mello

Head of Asian Fixed Income

Falling inflation boosts Asian bond outlook

Our outlook for Asia in 2015 is one where generally bonds yields will continue to fall, so bond returns are going to be positive.

Inflation is going to be much lower, due to falling oil prices. That is positive for bonds because declining inflation usually leads to central bankers cutting interest rates.

Indeed, if we look at countries like India we have seen inflation rates reach levels that we haven't seen in decades.

Asian currencies resilient to dollar strength

There is concern on the currency side about the strengthening US dollar.

Generally Asian currencies have done well despite this, and in euro or sterling terms Asian currencies look interesting.

Important information: The views and opinions contained herein are those of the named author(s) on this page, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Schroders communications, strategies or funds. This document is intended to be for information purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. The material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice, or investment recommendations. Information herein is believed to be reliable but Schroder Investment Management Ltd (Schroders) does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. The data has been sourced by Schroders and should be independently verified before further publication or use. No responsibility can be accepted for error of fact or opinion. This does not exclude or restrict any duty or liability that Schroders has to its customers under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended from time to time) or any other regulatory system. Reliance should not be placed on the views and information in the document when taking individual investment and/or strategic decisions. Past Performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amounts originally invested.  Exchange rate changes may cause the value of any overseas investments to rise or fall. Any sectors, securities, regions or countries shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be considered a recommendation to buy or sell. The forecasts included should not be relied upon, are not guaranteed and are provided only as at the date of issue. Our forecasts are based on our own assumptions which may change. Forecasts and assumptions may be affected by external economic or other factors. Issued by Schroder Unit Trusts Limited, 31 Gresham Street, London, EC2V 7QA. Registered Number 4191730 England. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.