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The emerging market (EM) export recovery is seemingly always on the horizon, but never arriving. However, there are signs of a modest pick-up in some EM economies.
In order to unlock higher growth, the European Central Bank (ECB) must build on the improvements seen in credit conditions and the demand for credit. Higher growth is essential to reduce the eurozone’s vulnerability to any future macro or political shocks.
Towards the start of the year, in Short notice, The Value Perspective referred to a Reuters interview in which Jim Chanos suggested the best time to be going short of markets – a practice in which he has built a reputation as a particularly skilled practitioner – is “when you feel like the village idiot and not an evil genius”.
Let's play a game we will call ‘Russian dice’, the rules of which were invented by a physicist/economist called Ole Peters. They are pretty simple – roll a dice and, if it comes up ‘one’, I will shoot you. Do you fancy playing? It does not sound very appealing but, if you were a nihilistic mathematician, you might be tempted because – in the very strictest terms – on average you will be absolutely fine.
All of the Cazenove Capital funds have changed their names. View the full details.
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