Economic views

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Economics

20ЮНИ 2019

Fed holds fire, but July rate cut likely

Although the US Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged this month, the direction of travel is towards easier policy. Whether this will be enough to restore corporate confidence and spending may depend as much on the president as the Fed.

2019

ЮНИ

07ЮНИ 2019

Economics

Why the world economy is like a wobbly bike

The world economy increasingly resembles an unstable bicycle that can be tipped over by the slightest bump in the road.

05ЮНИ 2019

Economics

Trump targets Mexico, hits the Fed

We cannot be sure if Trump’s Mexican tariffs are just part of his bargaining strategy, but it may get him the Fed rate cut he wants.

05ЮНИ 2019

Economics

Why we’ve lowered our expectations for emerging markets growth

Craig Botham explains growth downgrades for Brazil and India for this year, and why Russia sees a slight upgrade.

04ЮНИ 2019

Economics

Australian rates sink to all-time low amid labour concerns

The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut rates in response to a labour market that has lost momentum, and amid concerns over household consumption and China’s trade dispute.

МАЙ

31МАЙ 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - June 2019

This month we update our forecasts for a wobbly world economy, but see green shoots beginning to sprout in Europe.

30МАЙ 2019

Economics

Brazil optimism fades as economy shrinks

Despite a poor start to the year for Brazil under new president Jair Bolsonaro, we think the picture will improve later in the year.

24МАЙ 2019

Economics

May resignation raises UK recession risk

Our economics experts share their views as Boris Johnson, who could easily take the UK out of the EU without a deal, is installed as favourite to become the UK’s next prime minister.