Videos: Fund Manager Q&A’s
Head of Fixed Income & Multi-Asset
When low interest rates see savers cross-subsidising borrowers, something’s got to give. But how can savers fight back? Taking a broader approach to capital allocation, may enable you to earn income, manage risk and take advantage of rising valuations to keep cash flowing, even when rates are at rock-bottom levels.
Investors tend to remember the most recent events with more clarity and accuracy than those that have occurred in the past. With markets setting new record highs investors are upbeat and quickly forgetting the market volatility of 2018. This ‘recency effect’ risks seeing investors take on more risk at precisely the wrong time as headwinds to the recent bull market continue to build.
As markets move to price in further RBA rate cuts, Australia’s finely balanced economic position remains particularly exposed to geopolitical trade conflicts and the domestic housing market. After 27 years of continuous growth, the risk of a recession is now real, but by no means guaranteed.
With the US Fed recognising the need to pay attention to inflation risk and an overheating economy by relaxing the talk of rate rises, and a downgrade in the economic outlook, the start of 2019 has been led by a rebound in equity markets.
As equities continued to meander towards the end of the year down almost all across the board, oil prices negating inflation risk and geopolitical uncertainty in the US and UK means that there were few places for investors to hide.
While October proved true to form as a month where market crashes tend to happen, we’re not yet entering a buying phase beyond tactical moves. We believe there are further falls to come and will continue to monitor for a re-entry point.