Economics

08MAR 2019

Economics

Mixed US jobs report supports the Fed's patient stance

Job creation plunged in February but stronger wage growth should bolster household consumption.

08MAR 2019

Economics

ECB’s rate rise delay is likely to hurt banks’ profitability

We now forecast the next interest rate rise will be in March 2020.

06MAR 2019

Economics

Does the US have enough firepower to fight the next recession?

With interest rates already near record lows, we look at what's left in the Fed's arsenal to fight the next recession.

01MAR 2019

Economic & Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - March 2019

In our latest forecast update, we cut our 2019 global growth projection again but we still think the US and world economy will avoid recession.

FEBRUARY

20FEB 2019

Markets

Are investors too pessimistic on European shares?

Some European markets seem priced for recession but economists still forecast growth for the region in 2019.

18FEB 2019

Economics

Infographic: A view of the world economy in February 2019

In this month's infographic we look at "unloved" European shares, the economic ties that bind China and Australia and update our emerging market view.

14FEB 2019

Economics

Germany and Japan avoid recession but weaker global trade bites

Domestic demand improved in both economies at the end of 2018 but trade concerns persist.

11FEB 2019

Economics

Brexit uncertainty weighs on UK GDP growth

The weak growth figures point to risk of recession this year.

07FEB 2019

Economics

Bank of England downgrades growth forecast as Brexit hits sentiment

Upside risks remain if an orderly Brexit is achieved, paving the way for an interest rate rise.