In focus

10-year forecasts: what returns to expect from major asset classes?


The Schroders Multi-Asset long-term capital market assumptions are forward-looking estimates of total returns which are an important component for the team’s strategic asset allocation modelling and portfolio construction.

This note presents our latest 10-year capital market returns forecasts in local currency terms and provide a brief outline of our methodology. Our approach was developed using a framework predominantly based on market measures allowing for a transparent, timely and systematic process updated twice a year.

Return expectations across asset classes have been raised relative to our Jun-2022 forecasts largely due to further increases in government bond yields. The increased equity return forecasts have also been driven by continued falls in valuations since our last publication.


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10-year return forecasts (2023-32)

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This document is intended to be for information purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect nor is it to be construed as any solicitation and offering to buy or sell any investment products. The views and opinions contained herein are those of the author(s), and do not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Schroders communications, strategies or funds. The material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for investment advice or recommendation. Any security(ies) mentioned above is for illustrative purpose only, not a recommendation to invest or divest. Opinions stated are valid as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. Information herein and information from third party are believed to be reliable, but Schroder Investment Management (Hong Kong) Limited does not warrant its completeness or accuracy.
Investment involves risks. Past performance and any forecasts are not necessarily a guide to future or likely performance. You should remember that the value of investments can go down as well as up and is not guaranteed. You may not get back the full amount invested. Derivatives carry a high degree of risk. Exchange rate changes may cause the value of the overseas investments to rise or fall. If investment returns are not denominated in HKD/USD, US/HK dollar-based investors are exposed to exchange rate fluctuations. Please refer to the relevant offering document including the risk factors for further details.
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