Asset allocation

Current views - November 2018

Our investment team assesses the prospects for a range of asset classes and currencies



Asset classes



Improved valuations following on from strong earnings growth.


Fixed income

We prefer USD bonds versus EUR and GBP bonds, particularly inflation-linked bonds.



Attractive diversification characteristics compared to equities and fixed interest.



Cash has defensive and opportunistic qualities in uncertain and volatile markets.





Pockets of opportunity in the UK, but Brexit uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment.



Slowdown in domestic economic growth, increased trade tensions and Italian politics could hamper earnings.


North American

Strong US consumer and tax reform are supportive to earnings growth.



Rising inflation offsets concern about the upcoming consumption tax hike.


Asia Pacific

Solid and consistent earnings growth is supportive, but trade war remains a headwind.


Emerging markets

Valuations look attractive relative to Western developed markets, but trade war remains a headwind.


Fixed income


Government bonds

US Treasuries are relatively more attractive given the normalisation of yields that is taking place. We are cautious on European government bonds.


Investment grade

Returns are likely to be driven largely by government bond markets. We see opportunities in some shorter maturity areas of the markets.



High-yield credit spreads are at a historically low level compared to Investment Grade credit and Emerging Market Debt spreads, so we remain wary.



Inflation-linked government bonds remain relatively attractive compared to conventional government bonds and will outperform if inflation expectations rise.


Emerging markets

Emerging market bonds offer good value across the board, but struggle amid a stronger US dollar.




Absolute Return

Increased volatility and dispersion should provide opportunities. We favour trend followers and long/short strategies.


Commercial property (UK)

Post-Brexit concerns have resulted in the marking down of property valuations, but income characteristics remain attractive.



Gold is attractive as a diversifier, portfolio insurance and an inflation hedge.



This article is issued by Schroders Wealth Management, which is part of the Schroder Group and a trading name of Schroder & Co. (Hong Kong) Limited, Level 33, Two Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong. Licensed and regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission. Nothing in this document should be deemed to constitute the provision of financial, investment or other professional advice in any way. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

Contact Schroders Wealth Management

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Robert Ridland

Robert Ridland

Head of Wealth Management, Hong Kong
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Jason Huang

Senior Relationship Manager