Keith Wade

Chief Economist & Strategist

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Economics

05DEC 2018

Outlook 2019: Global economy

We forecast global growth to slow in 2019 and the dollar looks set to weaken with US interest rates peaking mid-year.

Economics

03DEC 2018

2018

NOVEMBER

12NOV 2018

Economics

Should other countries take a leaf out of Trump's economic playbook?

With growth outside the US faltering, we expect governments around the world to take a leaf out of Trump’s playbook and use tax and spending measures to support their economies.

07NOV 2018

Economics

US midterm elections: Is gridlock good?

Quickview: The US midterms have, as expected, seen the Democrats take the House with the Republicans holding the Senate. Our investment experts consider the implications for fiscal policy, trade, and the 2020 presidential election.

SEPTEMBER

18SEP 2018

Economics

Trade wars step up, more to come

Quickview: As the trade wars escalate we see no sign of agreement between the US and China. We assess the macro impact.

14SEP 2018

Economics

Where might the next global financial crisis come from?

Imbalances in the global economy are lower now than before the collapse of Lehman Brothers but other risks have emerged. We examine the new fault lines that could trigger another crisis.

AUGUST

03AUG 2018

Economics

Employment data dips: is US growth moderating?

Quickview: We think the world economy is entering a soft patch, something backed up by today’s payroll numbers from the US.

01AUG 2018

Watch/Listen

Is the world economy slowing?

Global growth appears to be losing momentum in some regions, particularly in Asia and Europe. We examine the three factors that we believe to be driving the slowdown and whether these are likely to have a permanent or temporary effect.

JULY

04JUL 2018

Watch/Listen

How might a trade war play out?

If trade tensions escalate, potential consequences could include stagflation and a stronger US dollar.