Keith Wade

Chief Economist & Strategist

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Economics

03AUG 2018

Employment data dips: is US growth moderating?

Quickview: We think the world economy is entering a soft patch, something backed up by today’s payroll numbers from the US.

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01AUG 2018

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04JUL 2018

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2018

MAY

04MAY 2018

Economics

US employment report signals the economy has peaked at a high level

Quickview: Recent data confirm the US is late in the cycle and we maintain our forecast for a total of four interest rate hikes this year.

02MAY 2018

Economics

Trade wars: what do they mean for the global economy?

Trade tensions are rising between the US and China, with both sides having announced tariffs on certain imports from the other. We look at how this could impact the global economy.

APRIL

19APR 2018

Economics

Infographic: A view of the global economy in April 2018

We look at the factors that could bring the current economic expansion phase to an end.

17APR 2018

Economics

Is the road to inflation taking us back to the 1960s?

The 1960s are remembered for radical social reform, political upheaval and war. Often forgotten is that they were also a time of rising inflation – and in this they may hold disquieting lessons for us today.

06APR 2018

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60 seconds on what could derail the US expansion

In this video Keith Wade discusses the factors which could undermine the ongoing strength in the US economy

MARCH

22MAR 2018

Economics

New Fed chair Powell raises rates, growth and inflation forecasts

We still see scope for further interest rate rises from the Fed this year, following yesterday’s 25 basis point hike at the March meeting of the FOMC.

13MAR 2018

Economics

UK chancellor sees (dim) light at end of tunnel

Quickview: There was some cautiously positive news in the chancellor's Spring Statement, but he did not mention that the UK is currently the weakest economy in the G7.