Keith Wade

Chief Economist & Strategist

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Economics

18SEP 2018

Trade wars step up, more to come

Quickview: As the trade wars escalate we see no sign of agreement between the US and China. We assess the macro impact.

2018

AUGUST

01AUG 2018

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Is the world economy slowing?

Global growth appears to be losing momentum in some regions, particularly in Asia and Europe. We examine the three factors that we believe to be driving the slowdown and whether these are likely to have a permanent or temporary effect.

JULY

04JUL 2018

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How might a trade war play out?

If trade tensions escalate, potential consequences could include stagflation and a stronger US dollar.

MAY

04MAY 2018

Economics

US employment report signals the economy has peaked at a high level

Quickview: Recent data confirm the US is late in the cycle and we maintain our forecast for a total of four interest rate hikes this year.

02MAY 2018

Economics

Trade wars: what do they mean for the global economy?

Trade tensions are rising between the US and China, with both sides having announced tariffs on certain imports from the other. We look at how this could impact the global economy.

APRIL

19APR 2018

Economics

Infographic: A view of the global economy in April 2018

We look at the factors that could bring the current economic expansion phase to an end.

17APR 2018

Economics

Is the road to inflation taking us back to the 1960s?

The 1960s are remembered for radical social reform, political upheaval and war. Often forgotten is that they were also a time of rising inflation – and in this they may hold disquieting lessons for us today.

06APR 2018

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60 seconds on what could derail the US expansion

In this video Keith Wade discusses the factors which could undermine the ongoing strength in the US economy