Growth

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Economics

23OCT 2019

Is the US heading for recession in 2020?

We look at what bond and labour markets are signalling about the prospects for the US economy next year.

2019

SEPTEMBER

04SEP 2019

Economics

How trade wars are rocking the wobbly world economy

Following the latest escalation of tensions, we are downgrading our forecasts for growth.

AUGUST

09AUG 2019

Insights

Two challenges remain for Bank of Japan despite stronger-than-expected GDP

Second quarter GDP growth shows improved domestic demand but further easing measures from the central bank look likely.

01AUG 2019

Insights

Brazil's central bank does not disappoint

Brazil’s central bank lowered its key interest rate by 50bps to 6%, and further easing looks likely amid progress on economic reforms.

JULY

15JUL 2019

Insights

The only way is up for China’s economy

Second quarter GDP growth may have slowed, but June’s data suggests a turning point has been reached.

10JUL 2019

Economics

Tough times for the UK may force rate cut

Brexit uncertainty is hampering growth, which may force the Bank of England to cut interest rates.

10JUL 2019

Insights

Tough times for the UK may force rate cut

Brexit uncertainty is hampering growth, which may force the Bank of England to cut interest rates.

MAY

30MAY 2019

Insights

Brazil optimism fades as economy shrinks

Despite a poor start to the year for Brazil under new president Jair Bolsonaro, we think the picture will improve later in the year.