Labour market

Highlight

Economics

23OCT 2019

Is the US heading for recession in 2020?

We look at what bond and labour markets are signalling about the prospects for the US economy next year.

2019

MAY

03MAY 2019

Economics

The Goldilocks jobs market continues in the US

The latest US employment data supports the central bank keeping interest rates on hold.

APRIL

05APR 2019

Economics

Strong non-farm payrolls gets US job market back on track in March

US non-farm payroll gains came roaring back in March, confirming February’s weakness as a blip.

05APR 2019

Insights

Strong non-farm payrolls gets US job market back on track in March

US non-farm payroll gains came roaring back in March, confirming February’s weakness as a blip.

2018

MAY

04MAY 2018

Economics

US employment report signals the economy has peaked at a high level

Quickview: Recent data confirm the US is late in the cycle and we maintain our forecast for a total of four interest rate hikes this year.

2017

DECEMBER

08DEC 2017

Economics

Fed still on course for December hike after jobs report

Quickview: The latest US non-farm payrolls show robust jobs growth although wage growth remains subdued.

AUGUST

02AUG 2017

Economics

TalkingEconomics: The UK wage puzzle continues

While employment is at a record high, wage growth remains anaemic. We forecast the Bank of England to keep interest rates on hold.

MAY

08MAY 2017

Economics

Macron victory marks market-friendly French election outcome

Macron’s reform agenda should be positive for economic growth in France. As political risk falls, investors can now turn their focus to the corporate earnings recovery.