Economic views



12OCT 2018

Tough week for markets amid worries over rising interest rates

Yesterday’s softer US inflation reading has helped to settle stock markets but we still expect further rate increases and trade tensions to remain a concern.


10OCT 2018



25SEP 2018


Infographic: Why the world economy is slowing

This month's infographic explains why we expect global growth to slow.

18SEP 2018


Trade wars step up, more to come

Quickview: As the trade wars escalate we see no sign of agreement between the US and China. We assess the macro impact.

14SEP 2018


Where might the next global financial crisis come from?

Imbalances in the global economy are lower now than before the collapse of Lehman Brothers but other risks have emerged. We examine the new fault lines that could trigger another crisis.

10SEP 2018


Growth to slow as trade wars escalate

We have cut our global growth forecasts as a deeper and more prolonged trade war is anticipated between the US and China.


14AUG 2018


Turkey trouble: what's behind it and what does it mean for emerging markets?

Our emerging markets economist shares his views on Turkey, where the lira has fallen sharply and raised concerns about broader market contagion.

13AUG 2018


Infographic: A view of the global economy in August 2018

In this month's infographic we look at the factors dragging on global growth and how much of a slowdown they might cause.

10AUG 2018


Japanese growth rebounds in Q2 amid buoyant domestic demand

The robust domestic picture is encouraging given weaker outlook for global trade