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Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

23AUG 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - September 2019

In their latest forecast update, our economists downgrade their projections for global growth due to the recent escalation in the US-China trade war.

2019

AUGUST

09AUG 2019

Economics

Will the UK economy slip into recession?

Disappointing GDP data shows the UK economy contracted in the second quarter and raises the risk of the country entering a technical recession.

09AUG 2019

Economics

Two challenges remain for Bank of Japan despite stronger-than-expected GDP

Second quarter GDP growth shows improved domestic demand but further easing measures from the central bank look likely.

07AUG 2019

Economics

Fed rate cut spurs EMs into action

A wave of rate cuts across the emerging markets is likely, as India joins Brazil in cutting interest rates by more than expected.

05AUG 2019

Economics

Has Trump misjudged China?

With the yuan’s latest depreciation, China is upping the ante in its trade war with the US. This has significant market and economic implications.

02AUG 2019

Economics

Resilient US labour market overshadowed by trade worries

The latest employment figures are strong, but escalation in the US-China trade dispute increases the prospect of another interest rate cut in September.

01AUG 2019

Economics

No-deal Brexit risk fails to spark BoE action

Constrained Bank of England keeps interest rates on hold as markets continue to ignore the bank’s forward guidance

01AUG 2019

Economics

Brazil's central bank does not disappoint

Brazil’s central bank lowered its key interest rate by 50bps to 6%, and further easing looks likely amid progress on economic reforms.