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Economics

23OCT 2019

Is the US heading for recession in 2020?

We look at what bond and labour markets are signalling about the prospects for the US economy next year.

2019

OCTOBER

16OCT 2019

Economics

The "inescapable truths" one year on: what's changed?

A year ago we identified the disruptive and economic forces that we thought would shape the decade ahead for investors. These were our "inescapable truths". But do they still hold true?

15OCT 2019

Economics

Infographic: A snapshot of the world economy in October 2019

In this month’s infographic we look at how the UK economy might react to different Brexit scenarios.

14OCT 2019

Economics

Trade war déjà vu is scant comfort to investors

We’re not convinced that the latest trade war détente between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will prove any more lasting than the previous one.

10OCT 2019

Economics

The UK looks to have avoided a recession, for now

GDP figures show activity is deteriorating, but not fast enough to force the Bank of England to act

04OCT 2019

Economics

Gloomy week for US data puts spotlight on the Fed

Moderating wage growth and weaker job creation follow disappointing data from the manufacturing sector.

02OCT 2019

Brexit

How might the UK economy react to different Brexit scenarios?

The UK’s path to Brexit remains unclear, even as the 31 October deadline approaches. We look at three scenarios and the potential economic impact of each.

01OCT 2019

Economics

How will today's consumption tax rise affect Japan's economy?

In a weak global environment, the tax increase underlines Japan’s long-term fiscal challenges.