Economic views

01DEC 2017


Outlook 2018: Global economy

In the first part of our series of articles assessing the outlook for next year, Keith Wade discusses whether the Goldilocks combination of strong growth and low inflation can continue in 2018.


30NOV 2017

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - December 2017

As the synchronised upswing continues, we are upgrading our global growth forecast for 2018.

30NOV 2017


Indian growth data disappoints again

Quickview: Indian GDP growth misses expectations again with agriculture and construction still dragging on performance

22NOV 2017


UK Budget: Stamp duty cut buys time for Hammond but can't hide challenges

The Chancellor of the Exchequer delivers giveaways to key policy areas despite worsening economic and fiscal outlook.

20NOV 2017


Political risks simmering: Spain, Italy and Austria divided

In this month's infographic we look at the political risks simmering in Europe and the potential issues with global growth without wage inflation.

15NOV 2017


Pick up in net exports supports Japanese Q3 GDP growth

Japan confirms seventh consecutive quarter of positive growth at 1.4% q/q in Q3.

14NOV 2017


UK inflation fails to rise but remains elevated

We may be close to the peak in inflation as the impact of sterling weakness should now start to fade.

13NOV 2017


More rate cuts to come after Russia growth slows?

Russian growth slowed more than the market expected in the third quarter, supporting the argument for further rate cuts by the central bank.

07NOV 2017


Eurozone: Political risk still simmering

Though many of Europe’s major political obstacles have been overcome, events in Spain highlight that political risk continues to simmer under the surface. These risks are contained for now, helped by quantitative easing which is set to continue into 2018.

06NOV 2017


Firing on all cylinders?

Despite the strengthening of global activity, inflation remains quiescent. This is creating consternation among policymakers whose models would have predicted a pick-up in wage and price pressure.