Craig Botham

Senior Emerging Markets Economist

Highlight

Economics

18OCT 2019

Does record low for China growth mark a turning point?

We think the Chinese economy could be about to turn the corner as growth hits a modern-era low.

2019

SEPTEMBER

06SEP 2019

Economics

How trade wars are weakening the BRICs

Craig Botham explains why the economics team has downgraded the growth outlook across the BRIC economies this quarter, with weakness in 2020 driven by the trade war.

AUGUST

07AUG 2019

Economics

Fed rate cut spurs EMs into action

A wave of rate cuts across the emerging markets is likely, as India joins Brazil in cutting interest rates by more than expected.

05AUG 2019

Economics

Has Trump misjudged China?

With the yuan’s latest depreciation, China is upping the ante in its trade war with the US. This has significant market and economic implications.

01AUG 2019

Economics

Brazil's central bank does not disappoint

Brazil’s central bank lowered its key interest rate by 50bps to 6%, and further easing looks likely amid progress on economic reforms.

JULY

26JUL 2019

Economics

A cautious cut from the Russian central bank

We expect one further cut this year as inflation continues to decline.

15JUL 2019

Economics

The only way is up for China’s economy

Second quarter GDP growth may have slowed, but June’s data suggests a turning point has been reached.

10JUL 2019

Economics

Why central banks' arsenal gives EM advantage

We look at why central banks in emerging markets have the upper hand over their developed market counterparts.