Global Emerging Markets

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Markets

19JUN 2019

The case for a core allocation to emerging market debt

A commonly held, but misplaced, belief that emerging market debt is an obscure and risky outpost of the fixed income universe has resulted in its under-representation in many portfolios.

2019

JUNE

05JUN 2019

Economics

Trump targets Mexico, hits the Fed

We cannot be sure if Trump’s Mexican tariffs are just part of his bargaining strategy, but it may get him the Fed rate cut he wants.

05JUN 2019

Economics

Why we’ve lowered our expectations for emerging markets growth

Craig Botham explains growth downgrades for Brazil and India for this year, and why Russia sees a slight upgrade.

MAY

31MAY 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - June 2019

This month we update our forecasts for a wobbly world economy, but see green shoots beginning to sprout in Europe.

30MAY 2019

Economics

Brazil optimism fades as economy shrinks

Despite a poor start to the year for Brazil under new president Jair Bolsonaro, we think the picture will improve later in the year.

29MAY 2019

Markets

What ETF flows say about emerging market debt opportunities

Outflows from the world’s largest passive emerging market debt ETF appear to be bottoming – is this an opportunity for investors?

16MAY 2019

Economics

Who will pay as US-China trade wars intensify?

The GDP impact of escalating trade tensions will be more severe on China but US consumers will pay as companies pass on higher costs.

03MAY 2019

Economics

Why Turkey and Argentina do not pose a contagion risk to other emerging markets

Craig Botham explains why the economic travails of Argentina and Turkey are unlikely to spill over and impact sentiment in other emerging markets in the near term.