Growth

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Markets

10DEC 2019

Outlook 2020: China equities

Why we think China’s economy will stabilise in 2020, which areas of the economy will drive growth, and where we see opportunities.

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

29NOV 2019

2019

OCTOBER

31OCT 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - November 2019

This month's Viewpoint discusses the outlook for US corporate profits, the debt picture in emerging markets, and the lessons we can draw from Japan's experience of fiscal stimulus in the 1990s.

23OCT 2019

Economics

Is the US heading for recession in 2020?

We look at what bond and labour markets are signalling about the prospects for the US economy next year.

18OCT 2019

Economics

Does record low for China growth mark a turning point?

We think the Chinese economy could be about to turn the corner as growth hits a modern-era low.

02OCT 2019

Economics

How might the UK economy react to different Brexit scenarios?

The UK’s path to Brexit remains unclear, even as the 31 October deadline approaches. We look at three scenarios and the potential economic impact of each.

01OCT 2019

Economics

How will today's consumption tax rise affect Japan's economy?

In a weak global environment, the tax increase underlines Japan’s long-term fiscal challenges.

SEPTEMBER

06SEP 2019

Economics

How trade wars are weakening the BRICs

Craig Botham explains why the economics team has downgraded the growth outlook across the BRIC economies this quarter, with weakness in 2020 driven by the trade war.

04SEP 2019

Economics

How trade wars are rocking the wobbly world economy

Following the latest escalation of tensions, we are downgrading our forecasts for growth.