Economic views

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Economics

14NOV 2019

Disappointing Japanese growth bolsters case for rate cut

Economic growth was weaker than we expected in Q3, increasing expectations for a rate cut from the Bank of Japan

2019

OCTOBER

31OCT 2019

Economics

Eurozone economy defies pessimists

Latest GDP data shows that France has helped the eurozone economy outperform the more pessimistic consensus forecasts. Whether Germany is in recession remains to be seen.

31OCT 2019

Economics

Fed hits pause, for now

Trade uncertainty and a squeeze on profit margins could see a return to rate cuts in 2020.

31OCT 2019

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint - November 2019

This month's Viewpoint discusses the outlook for US corporate profits, the debt picture in emerging markets, and the lessons we can draw from Japan's experience of fiscal stimulus in the 1990s.

28OCT 2019

Economics

Smooth Brexit could be on cards as election looms

A smooth Brexit could remove some of the fog of uncertainty over the UK economic outlook, a prospect made more likely by the agreement to extend the deadline to 31 January 2020.

23OCT 2019

Economics

Is the US heading for recession in 2020?

We look at what bond and labour markets are signalling about the prospects for the US economy next year.

18OCT 2019

Economics

Does record low for China growth mark a turning point?

We think the Chinese economy could be about to turn the corner as growth hits a modern-era low.

17OCT 2019

Economics

Brexit deal reaction: recession averted?

What are the implications of today's breakthrough in Brexit negotiations?